Our work pointing to the Bureau of Justice Statistics’ Nationwide Crime Victimization Survey and that it reveals that violent crime has elevated underneath Biden has gotten vital information consideration. Amusingly, ABC Information has refused to answer requests for remark from different information organizations. These are solely elements of the information tales.
From the New York Put up:
Violent crime has elevated underneath the Harris-Biden administration, in accordance with knowledge from the Division of Justice printed Friday — belying ABC Information debate moderator David Muir’s correction of Donald Trump throughout his showdown with Kamala Harris Tuesday night time
. . . The annual Nationwide Crime Victimization Survey (NCVS) confirmed complete situations of reported violent crime — together with rape, theft and aggravated assault — is up from 5.6 per 1,000 in 2020 to eight.7 per 1,000 in 2023.
The very best latest fee of violent crime was in 2022, when the survey tracked 9.8 situations per 1,000 folks over the age of 12.
The speed of rape elevated from 1.2 per 1,000 in 2020 to 1.7 in 2023, whereas theft went from 1.6 per 1,000 in 2020 to 2.6 per 1,000 in 2023, and aggravated assault rose from 2.9 per 1,000 in 2020 to 4.5 per 1,000 in 2023. . . .
John Lott, former Justice Division senior adviser for analysis and statistics, advised The Put up that there are a number of causes the discrepancy between the FBI and DOJ numbers.
“There’s the explanation why you may argue the variety of crimes reported to police within the FBI knowledge has gone down,” Lott stated, stating that the variety of regulation enforcement officers in cities like New York has “plummeted” over the previous few years.
He added that the NCVS was arrange many years in the past to account for crimes that don’t get reported to the police.
“About 40% of violent crimes are reported to the police and about 30% of property crime are reported to police,” Lott went on, including that the controversy boils all the way down to a query of whether or not folks care merely about reported crime, or “complete crime.”
“My guess is folks care extra about complete crime,” he stated. . . .
Diana Glebova, “Violent crime has elevated underneath Harris-Biden admin — after ABC’s David Muir disputed Trump’s declare that crime is ‘via the roof’: DOJ report,” New York Put up, September 13, 2024.
From NewsMax:
Justice Division knowledge launched Thursday confirmed that there have been 22.5 violent victimizations per 1,000 individuals age 12 or older within the U.S. throughout 2023. That discovering was much like the 2022 fee (23.5).
The speed of property victimization remained secure from 2022 to 2023 (102.2 victimizations per 1,000 households). In city areas, the speed of property victimization elevated from 176.1 per 1,000 households in 2022 to 192.3 per 1,000 final yr.
The numbers for violent crime and property crime in 2023 had been considerably greater than in 2020, the final yr of the Trump administration. . . .
Crime Prevention Analysis Middle President John R. Lott Jr. stated the numbers point out that crime has risen underneath Biden.
“Violent crime elevated by 37% underneath the Biden administration, in comparison with a drop of 17% underneath the Trump administration,” Lott stated, The Washington Occasions reported.
In response to Lott in a breakdown of the Bureau of Justice Statistics’ Nationwide Crime Victimization Survey (NCVS) datareleased Thursday, violent crime has soared underneath Biden-Harris.
“In the event you take a look at rape, theft, and aggravated assaults (the NCVS doesn’t measure homicide), between 2016 and 2020, violent crime fell by 15% underneath Trump and soared by 55% underneath Biden between 2020 and 2023,” Lott wrote.
“The yr earlier than they turned president after which the way it had modified by the both the top of Trump’s [presidency] or the most recent yr for Biden-Harris. Even when you take the beginning interval for Biden as 2019 or the five-year common earlier than COVID as a result of the numbers could have been artificially depressed throughout COVID, violent crime rose by 19%.
“Below Biden, rape soared by 42%, theft by 63%, and aggravated assaults by 55%. . . .
Lott stated lower than half of police departments reported full knowledge to the FBI, the Occasions reported. . . .
Charlie McCarthy, “DOJ Knowledge Signifies Crime Up Below Biden-Harris,” NewsMax, September 13, 2024.
From NewsMax:
In response to Lott, in a breakdown of the Bureau of Justice Statistics’ Nationwide Crime Victimization Survey knowledge launched Thursday, violent crime has soared underneath Biden-Harris.
“In the event you take a look at rape, theft, and aggravated assaults (the NCVS doesn’t measure homicide), between 2016 and 2020, violent crime fell by 15% underneath Trump and soared by 55% underneath Biden between 2020 and 2023,” Lott wrote. . . .
Workers, “Harris Will Make US ‘Crime-Ridden Hellhole’,” NewsMax, September 13, 2024.
From The Day by day Sign Podcast:
The newest knowledge out of the Crime Prevention Analysis Middle has discovered that violent crime is up considerably prior to now a number of years. . . .
Workers, “Trump Gained’t Conform to One other Debate, Bomb Risk After ‘Consuming the Pets’ Declare, Crime is Up Below Bidem,” The Day by day Sign Podcast, September 14, 2024.
From Breitbart:
Rape, theft, and aggravated assault soared greater than 40 p.c underneath the Biden-Harris administration regardless of claims on the contrary, Justice Division knowledge that the Crime Prevention Analysis Middle (CPRC) analyzed present.
The discovering is critical as a result of violent crime fell 15 p.c underneath former President Donald Trump, in accordance with the CPRC’s estimate.
Justice Division knowledge discovered Thursday that violent crime soared underneath the Biden-Harris administration: Rape elevated 42 p.c, theft rose 63 p.c, and aggravated assault surged 55 p.c, the CPRC reported:
The just-released knowledge from the Bureau of Justice Statistics’s Nationwide Crime Victimization Survey (NCVS) reveals violent crime has soared underneath Biden-Harris. In the event you take a look at rape, theft, and aggravated assaults (the NCVS doesn’t measure homicide), between 2016 and 2020, violent crime fell by 15% underneath Trump and soared by 55% underneath Biden between 2020 and 2023. The yr earlier than they turned president after which the way it had modified by the both the top of Trump’s president or the most recent yr for Biden-Harris. Even when you take the beginning interval for Biden as 2019 or the five-year common earlier than COVID as a result of the numbers could have been artificially depressed throughout COVID, violent crime rose by 19% (see graph beneath).
Below Biden, rape soared by 42%, theft by 63%, and aggravated assaults by 55%.
In the event you choose 2021 as the bottom yr for comparability for Biden-Harris, although that makes them answerable for any modifications which have already occurred throughout the first yr of their presidency, the numbers are just about unchanged, aside from aggravated assault, which is up far more underneath this measure. Violent crime is up 55%, rape up 42%, theft up 53%, and aggravated assault up 67%.
Learn the CPRC’s full report right here.
Wendell Husebo, “Report: Rape, Theft, Aggravated Assault Surged Greater than 40% Below Biden-Harris Admin,” Breitbart, September 13, 2024.
From La Gaceta:
Pero, como nosotros y muchos otros hemos señalado, estas estadísticas del FBI son muy sospechosas. John R. Lott Jr., presidente del Centro de Investigación para la Prevención del Delito, escribió este mes que los informes del FBI son el producto de una caída drástica de los delitos denunciados. «Todas estas cifras son del análisis del FBI de los delitos denunciados, y como la aplicación de la ley ha colapsado, la tasa de delitos que no se denuncian ha aumentado», dijo. . .
Translation from Spanish.
However as we and plenty of others have identified, these FBI statistics are extremely suspect. John R. Lott Jr., president of the Crime Prevention Analysis Middle, wrote this month that the FBI experiences are the product of a dramatic drop in reported crimes. “All of those numbers are from the FBI’s evaluation of reported crimes, and as regulation enforcement has collapsed, the speed of crimes that aren’t reported has elevated,” he stated. . . .
MIKE GONZÁLEZ, “ABC, abanderada del arbitraje político sesgado,” La Gaceta, September 12, 2024.
From PJ Media:
Trump’s proper, and you may rise up to hurry on the difficulty by watching my Grownup within the Room Podcast dialogue with the Crime Prevention Analysis Middle’s John Lott beneath.
There’s extra nuance on this assertion, nonetheless. . . .
The FBI doesn’t “rig” the stats per se, says Lott. Trump’s proper that giant cities with the worst crime stats aren’t reporting their whopping crime charges. Lott tells me that it’s true they don’t report, however the FBI has filler stats, if you’ll, that it contains on these cities behalf to guesstimate the crime charges. It’s not excellent. It’s not correct. Certainly, the charges are skewed.
That’s unhealthy sufficient however what might be worse is that People in these high-crime cities have stopped reporting crimes. “We’ve identified solely about 42% of violent crimes [that] are reported,” he advised me.
Lott notes that “solely 32% of property crimes are reported to police.”
However that’s not all we all know.
“For the final 50 years, we’ve had one thing referred to as the Nationwide Crime Victimization Survey which surveys a whopping 240,000 folks annually to attempt to get info on what occurs to complete crime reported and unreported,” he advised the Grownup within the Room Podcast.
“And what you discover since 2020,” Lott explains, “this measure of complete crime and the FBI’s measure of reported crime have gone in reverse instructions.” . . .
Victoria Taft, “Hey, Grasp Debater David Muir of ABC: Let’s Speak About Your Crime Stats,” PJ Media, September 13, 2024.
From Hannity.com:
[Trump] was shortly “fact-checked” by debate moderator David Muir.
“President Trump, as , the FBI says total violent crime is coming down on this nation,” he stated.
Now we’re studying that Trump’s preliminary declare was right. . . .
The numbers point out that crime has risen underneath Mr. Biden and fell throughout the Trump administration, stated John R. Lott Jr., president of the Crime Prevention Analysis Middle, who has tracked the information over time. . . .
Workers, “TRUMP WAS RIGHT (AGAIN): DOJ Knowledge Backs Declare of Violent Crime Spike Below Biden-Harris: Report,” Hannity.com, September 13, 2024.
From Your Information:
CPRC President John R. Lott Jr. analyzed the Bureau of Justice Statistics’ Nationwide Crime Victimization Survey (NCVS)knowledge and reported that crimes comparable to rape, theft, and aggravated assault have considerably elevated underneath the present administration. Lott famous that between 2016 and 2020, violent crime dropped by 15% throughout Trump’s tenure however has surged by 55% between 2020 and 2023.
“Below Biden, rape soared by 42%, theft by 63%, and aggravated assaults by 55%,” Lott wrote in his evaluation.
Moreover, the NCVS survey, which reaches practically a quarter-million folks in 150,000 households yearly, confirmed that many People are more and more failing to report crimes to the police. For example, in 2023, solely 42% of theft victims reported their experiences to regulation enforcement, in comparison with 64% in 2022.
Lott’s evaluation additionally challenges latest FBI knowledge, which advised a lower in crime charges. In response to Lott, lower than half of police departments supplied full knowledge to the FBI, which can have skewed the findings. He factors out that the FBI’s nationwide crime database reveals a 6.1% drop in homicides in 2022 from 2021, however this doesn’t account for different types of violent crime that had been rising sharply throughout the identical interval. . . .
Workers, “DOJ Knowledge Launched Friday Confirms Rise in Crime Throughout Biden-Harris Administration, Backing Trump’s Debate Assertion,” Your Information, September 13, 2024.
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